%0 Journal Article %A de Gonzalo Calvo, David %A Molinero, Marta %A Benítez, Iván D. %A Perez Pons, Manel %A García Mateo, Nadia %A Ortega, Alicia %A Postigo, Tamara %A García Hidalgo, María C. %A Belmonte, Thalía %A Rodríguez Muñoz, Carlos %A González, Jessica %A Torres, Gerard %A Gort Paniello, Clara %A Moncusí Moix, Anna %A Estella García, Ángel %A Tamayo Lomas, Luis %A Martínez de la Gándara, Amalia %A Socias, Lorenzo %A Peñasco, Yhivian %A de la Torre, María del Carmen %A Bustamante Munguira, Elena %A Gallego Curto, Elena %A Martínez Varela, Ignacio %A Martín Delgado, María Cruz %A Vidal Cortés, Pablo %A López Messa, Juan %A Pérez García, Felipe %A Caballero, Jesús %A Añón, José Manuel %A Loza Vázquez, Ana %A Carbonell, Nieves %A Marin Corral, Judith %A Jorge García, Ruth Noemí %A Barberà, Carmen %A Ceccato, Adrián %A Fernández Barat, Laia %A Ferrer, Ricard %A García Gasulla, Dario %A Lorente Balanza, Jose Ángel %A Menéndez, Rosario %A Motos, Ana %A Peñuelas, Oscar %A Riera, Jordi %A Bermejo Martin, Jesús F. %A Torres, Antoni %A Barbé, Ferrán %T A blood microRNA classifier for the prediction of ICU mortality in COVID-19 patients: a multicenter validation study %D 2023 %@ 1465-9921 %U http://hdl.handle.net/10498/29728 %X Background: The identification of critically ill COVID-19 patients at risk of fatal outcomes remains a challenge. Here, we first validated candidate microRNAs (miRNAs) as biomarkers for clinical decision-making in critically ill patients. Second, we constructed a blood miRNA classifier for the early prediction of adverse outcomes in the ICU. Methods: This was a multicenter, observational and retrospective/prospective study including 503 critically ill patients admitted to the ICU from 19 hospitals. qPCR assays were performed in plasma samples collected within the first 48 h upon admission. A 16-miRNA panel was designed based on recently published data from our group. Results: Nine miRNAs were validated as biomarkers of all-cause in-ICU mortality in the independent cohort of critically ill patients (FDR < 0.05). Cox regression analysis revealed that low expression levels of eight miRNAs were associated with a higher risk of death (HR from 1.56 to 2.61). LASSO regression for variable selection was used to construct a miRNA classifier. A 4-blood miRNA signature composed of miR-16-5p, miR-192-5p, miR-323a-3p and miR-451a predicts the risk of all-cause in-ICU mortality (HR 2.5). Kaplan‒Meier analysis confirmed these findings. The miRNA signature provides a significant increase in the prognostic capacity of conventional scores, APACHE-II (C-index 0.71, DeLong test p-value 0.055) and SOFA (C-index 0.67, DeLong test p-value 0.001), and a risk model based on clinical predictors (C-index 0.74, DeLong test-p-value 0.035). For 28-day and 90-day mortality, the classifier also improved the prognostic value of APACHE-II, SOFA and the clinical model. The association between the classifier and mortality persisted even after multivariable adjustment. The functional analysis reported biological pathways involved in SARS-CoV infection and inflammatory, fibrotic and transcriptional pathways. Conclusions: A blood miRNA classifier improves the early prediction of fatal outcomes in critically ill COVID-19 patients. %K COVID-19 %K Biomarker %K ICU %K microRNA %K Prognosis %K SARS-CoV-2 %~ Universidad de Cádiz