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dc.contributor.authorAlonso del Rosario, José Juan
dc.contributor.authorVidal Pérez, Juan Manuel
dc.contributor.authorBlázquez Gómez, Elizabeth
dc.contributor.otherCiencias de la Tierraen_US
dc.contributor.otherCiencias y Técnicas de la Navegación, Máquinas y Motores Térmicos y Teoría de la Señal...en_US
dc.contributor.otherFísica Aplicadaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2019-09-19T10:13:18Z
dc.date.available2019-09-19T10:13:18Z
dc.date.issued2019-07
dc.identifier.issn1424-8220
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10498/21694
dc.description.abstractThe upwelling cores on the Caribbean Colombian coasts are mainly located at the Peninsula de la Guajira and Cabo de la Aguja. We used monthly averaged Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sea surface temperature as the only information to build up a prediction model for the upwelling events. This comprised two steps: (i) the reduction of the complexity by means of the Karhunen–Loève transform and (ii) a prediction model of time series. Two prediction models were considered: (a) a parametric autoregressive-moving average (ARMA) time series from the Box–Jenkins methodology and (b) a harmonic synthesis model. The harmonic synthesis also comprised of two steps: the maximum entropy spectral analysis and a least-squares harmonic analysis on the set of frequencies. The parametric ARMA time series model failed at the time of prediction with a very narrow range, and it was quite di cult to apply. The harmonic synthesis allowed prediction with a horizon of six months with a correlation of about 0.80. The results can be summarized using the time series of the weights of the di erent oscillation modes, their spatial structures with the nodal lines, and a high confidence model with a horizon of prediction of about four months.en_US
dc.formatapplication/pdfen_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherMDPIen_US
dc.rightsAtribución 4.0 Internacional*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.sourceSensors 2019, 19(13), 2861en_US
dc.subjectMODIS-SSTen_US
dc.subjectupwellingen_US
dc.subjectColombian Caribbeanen_US
dc.subjectprediction modelen_US
dc.titleOn the Prediction of Upwelling Events at the Colombian Caribbean Coasts from Modis-SST Imageryen_US
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleen_US
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/s19132861


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Atribución 4.0 Internacional
This work is under a Creative Commons License Atribución 4.0 Internacional