RT journal article
T1 Dynamic adaptive model predictive control for prosumers-based energy communities
A1 Horrillo Quintero, Pablo
A1 García Triviño, Pablo
A1 Santos, Sérgio F.
A1 Carrasco González, David
A1 Fernández Ramírez, Luis Miguel
A1 Catalão, João P.S.
A2 Ingeniería Eléctrica
K1 Adaptive model predictive control
K1 Dynamic control
K1 Energy communities
K1 Optimisation
K1 Renewable energy
AB Energy communities (ECs) offer a significant opportunity for decentralised energy production. However, realising their full potential is hindered by the significant challenge of managing the high volatility of renewable energy technologies (RETs) and dynamic electricity markets. To address this, the present work introduces a novel dynamic adaptive model predictive control (AMPC) framework designed to simultaneously reduce costs, minimise losses, and enhance RET integration in prosumer-based ECs. The methodology is built upon a high-fidelity dynamic model of the EC, operating with a 50 μs time step to accurately capture the switching dynamics of power electronics and ensure a realistic representation of system behaviour. The key innovation lies in the dynamic adaptation of AMPC weights and power constraints, enabling seamless transitions between a self-sufficiency mode during high-price periods and an economically optimised grid-interactive mode during favourable market conditions. The performance of the AMPC is rigorously benchmarked against fixed MPC strategies and the particle swarm optimisation (PSO) algorithm. The results demonstrate the profound superiority of the adaptive approach, showing reductions in operational costs and power losses of 6.13% to 44.92%, without compromising sustainability. The AMPC's average RET utilisation of 79.31% was superior to that of the fixed-MPC strategies, with improvements ranging from 0.45% to 13.34%. Furthermore, it demonstrated a highly efficient balance against the metaheuristic approach, where a minor 2.53% difference in utilisation was exchanged for significant gains in cost and efficiency. Finally, compared with an adaptive PSO strategy, it reduces 120% power losses and increases 28.33% the capacity utilisation. These results demonstrate a superior framework for achieving a costeffective, efficient, and sustainable operation.
PB Elsevier
SN 0306-2619
YR 2026
FD 2026
LK http://hdl.handle.net/10498/38597
UL http://hdl.handle.net/10498/38597
LA eng
NO The research leading to these results has received partial financial support from the Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades, Agencia Estatal de Investigación, FEDER, UE (Grant PID2024-156036OB-C32 supported by MCIN /AEI /10.13039/501100011033/FEDER, UE) and from the Consejería de Universidades, Investigación e Innovación de la Junta de Andalucía (Grant DGP_PIDI_2024_02368). The work of Pablo Horrillo-Quintero was partially supported by the Fundación Campus Tecnológico de Algeciras, with funding provided by the Consejería de Universidades, Investigación e Innovación de la Junta de Andalucía and the ‘PLAN PROPIO-UCA 2025-2027’ program. Moreover, J.P.S. Catalão acknowledges support from the EU Horizon Europe Programme under GA ID: 101230578 (INNO-TREC Project; DOI: 10.3030/101230578) and from COMPETE2030-FEDER-00883700 and FCT (INVINCIBLE Project; DOI: 10.54499/2023.17788.ICDT).
DS Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Cádiz
RD 10-may-2026