RT journal article T1 GNSS-Based Models of Displacement, Stress, and Strain in the SHETPENANT Region: Impact of Geodynamic Activity from the ORCA Submarine Volcano A1 Rosado Moscoso, Belén A1 Jiménez, Vanessa A1 Pérez Peña, Alejandro A1 Martín, Rosa A1 de Gil, Amos A1 Carmona Medeiro, Enrique A1 Gárate, Jorge A1 Berrocoso Domínguez, Manuel A2 Matemáticas K1 GNSS system K1 geodetic time series K1 geodynamic K1 volcano–tectonic deformation K1 ORCA volcano AB The South Shetland Islands and Antarctic Peninsula (SHETPENANT region) constitutea geodynamically active area shaped by the interaction of major tectonic plates and activemagmatic systems. This study analyzes GNSS time series spanning from 2017 to 2024 toinvestigate surface deformation associated with the 2020–2021 seismic swarm near the Orcasubmarine volcano. Horizontal and vertical displacement velocities were estimated for thepreseismic, coseismic, and postseismic phases using the CATS method. Results reveal significant coseismic displacements exceeding 20 mm in the horizontal components near Orca,associated with rapid magmatic pressure release and dike intrusion. Postseismic velocitiesindicate continued, though slower, deformation attributed to crustal relaxation. Stationslocated near the Orca exhibit nonlinear, transient behavior, whereas more distant stationsdisplay stable, linear trends, highlighting the spatial heterogeneity of crustal deformation.Stress and strain fields derived from the velocity models identify zones of extensional dilatation in the central Bransfield Basin and localized compression near magmatic intrusions.Maximum strain rates during the coseismic phase exceeded 200 νstrain/year, supportinga scenario of crustal thinning and fault reactivation. These patterns align with the knownstructural framework of the region. The integration of GNSS-based displacement and strainmodeling proves essential for resolving active volcano-tectonic interactions. The findingsenhance our understanding of back-arc deformation processes in polar regions and supportthe development of more effective geohazard monitoring strategies. PB Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI) SN 2072-4292 YR 2025 FD 2025 LK http://hdl.handle.net/10498/39345 UL http://hdl.handle.net/10498/39345 LA eng DS Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Cádiz RD 07-nov-2026